Industry Impact2 min read

Buying a Cybercab Will Not Make You a Robotaxi Owner

By , Senior AI ConsultantPublished

Tesla wants to sell Cybercabs to customers, but the software and app that earn money from rides stay with Tesla, as they did when owners were promised robotaxi income in 2019.

Tesla's engineering chief said on the third-quarter earnings call that the company is trying to get Cybercabs to customers by the end of 2026, and that it will start small. Elon Musk added that the vast majority of Cybercabs will stay Tesla-owned and run as part of its own ride service. For anyone thinking of buying one, the useful question is what the buyer would own after paying for it.

A Cybercab you buy cannot earn money yet

The Cybercab has no steering wheel or brake pedal and relies entirely on Tesla's Full Self-Driving software. The version that consumers can get still needs a person behind the wheel. The driverless version, called Unsupervised, is not available to them, and Tesla expects to switch it on for some of the first customer vehicles around the second quarter of 2027.

Put those dates together. A fleet company that takes delivery in December has paid for vehicles that may wait four to six months before they can carry one paying rider. If the company borrowed to buy them, that is months of loan payments, insurance and parking on cars with no income, and the first fare depends on a switch that Tesla controls.

The buyer owns the car and Tesla runs the rest

A restaurant on a delivery app owns the kitchen and the food, but the app owns the customer, sets the fees and decides which restaurants people see first. A Cybercab fleet on Tesla's network would work the same way. Riders open Tesla's app, Tesla's software sends out the cars, and Tesla's own Cybercabs, which will be most of the fleet, compete with the buyer's for every ride.

Tesla began collecting names of possible fleet buyers in September, through an interest form that asks for contact details and shows no price or revenue split. So a regional car-rental company with 40 cars would be deciding blind. If it buys 40 Cybercabs, it pays for the vehicles, the charging, the cleaning and the loss in value, while Tesla decides the fares and takes a share of each one. And if driverless rides turn out to be very profitable, Tesla has every reason to keep more of the cars for itself, which is what Musk says will happen.

What it means for people who drive for a living

Cybercab rides in Austin began in September. A ride-hailing driver in a city like that is no longer competing with other drivers or small fleets. The competitor is one company that owns the cars, the software and the app, and has no driver to pay, and that same company sets the price of the ride.

Buyers also take on a question that is still open. In September the federal road-safety regulator began an audit of whether Tesla's own certification that the Cybercab meets every federal safety standard holds up for a vehicle with no human controls. We covered that probe when it opened. An audit that went against Tesla would reach every Cybercab, including the ones in customers' hands.

The same test applies well beyond cars. A delivery robot, an AI-run kiosk or a driverless truck can all be sold as a way to earn money. Before paying for one, ask who sends it customers, who sets its prices and who can turn its software off. Whoever holds those three owns the business, and the buyer holds the equipment.

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